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Meem
The question: Climate Change, is it man-made or is it a natural cycle?

I think one is able to reason several KEY issues with this question. Is it happening is not the problem, because IT IS. Can we do something about it IS NOT the problem, because we can.

The true problem of this posed question is not seeing that they are in-fact one and the same. If men are not part of the natural cycle on this planet, we are then either: A, supernatural (which I would say heroes have this quality- think medal of honor winners) or: B, we are unnatural ... of which I would say villains have this quality ... think serial killers.

The question is then, are we going to be the heroes or villains of our environment? We are a part of the natural cycle on this planet whether we like it, agree, see or believe it or not. There is a choice to be made and is man a part of the problem is not the right question to be asking ... because were in-fact are. The proper question is ... are we going to be part of the solution, or argue arbitrary about terms and conditions of the facts, IT IS happening and WE ARE a part of it.

It irritates me to no end when people who claim to believe in "God," something greater than themselves are unable to see the possibility that being green, being responsible, caring for our effects on the environment in which we live, the Earth ... is a "universal body ... a heavenly body," and we are scarring it.

How does evolution disprove God? God is concept we don't understand like time. Why are we so convinced that one seeking scientific truth must be the enemy of one seeking spiritual truth? In --truth-- they are one in the same, and very slippery to grasp. If time itself is eternal, the amount of time associated with a day, hour, eon, or epoch is trivial and at best, a flash, a moment, an instant, a brief reality or manifestation.

We have the ability to interact with and shape our environment, for the the better or worse. Stop riding the fence of indecision and do something positive for your environment or world around you. huh.gif
pnelson419
I plan on doing my part by burning as much fossil fuel as I can in order to slow down global cooling an hopefully prevent a devastating ice age.

We should all do as much as we can.
Meem
That's almost cute! But where is it gets rather interesting in the history of time on earth, when the planet gets hot ... like it is now, ice ages aren't too far behind. Do your part and smoke more too, it's good for you lungs .... but it really does increase fat burning gene stimuli ... at the risk of ... cancer.

"The greatest enemy of knowledge is not ignorance, it is the illusion of knowledge."
— Stephen W. Hawking
pnelson419
QUOTE (Meem+Jun 7 2009, 01:27 PM)
That's almost cute! But where is it gets rather interesting in the history of time on earth, when the planet gets hot ... like it is now, ice ages aren't too far behind. Do your part and smoke more too, it's good for you lungs .... but it really does increase fat burning gene stimuli ... at the risk of ... cancer.

"The greatest enemy of knowledge is not ignorance, it is the illusion of knowledge."
— Stephen W. Hawking

Global warming is the illusion.

Lowering atmospheric CO2 levels will lower crop yield and cause world wide starvation.
Meem
Really, I thought the higher levels were doing that with drought and famine. When land based ice melts, sea level rises and all those hungry people you claim to be saving will go looking for food elsewhere. The majority of population is center on urban environments or cities. Where are the majority of the world's dense population centers, near the ocean. What's going to happen when it rises? Floods of people ... I hope your illusion, or my delusion, never comes knocking on your door.
pnelson419
QUOTE (Meem+Jun 7 2009, 02:06 PM)
I hope your illusion, or my delusion, never comes knocking on your door.

The problem is my government plans on me paying for your delusions anyway.
Meem
Your illusion of value ... money?

What's the quote from a stupid movie and book ...

QUOTE
"onen i-estel edain, u-chebin estel anim
(I give hope to men. I keep none for myself.)"
— J.R.R. Tolkien


Yes, so very stupid an delusional. No wonder the book is so unpopular.
pnelson419
QUOTE (Meem+Jun 7 2009, 03:19 PM)
Your illusion of value ... money?


That would be those that intend to use it to stay in power even though evidence no longer supports it.
Meem
You mean like oil, one of the oldest power/money sources on the planet running out? Wow, you're starting to make some sense friend. wink.gif
pnelson419
QUOTE (Meem+Jun 7 2009, 03:34 PM)
You mean like oil, one of the oldest power/money sources on the planet running out? Wow, you're starting to make some sense friend. wink.gif

No, I mean the global warming hoax that you seem to be on the band wagon of.
Meem
Is that like the man on the moon hoax that nasa pulled off?

I suggest educating yourself at NSIDC.org.
rpenner
Another thread on the topic of Global Warming/Anthropogenic Climate Change.

http://www.physforum.com/index.php?showtopic=25734
pnelson419
QUOTE (Meem+Jun 7 2009, 03:52 PM)
Is that like the man on the moon hoax that nasa pulled off?

I suggest educating yourself at NSIDC.org.

No,

And I suggest educating yourself and not just with an organization that is trying to get federal funding.
Meem
If we had no effect on our environment, and it had no effect on us, swine-flu wouldn't be so scary.

QUOTE
No,

And I suggest educating yourself and not just with an organization that is trying to get federal funding.


QUOTE (->
QUOTE
No,

And I suggest educating yourself and not just with an organization that is trying to get federal funding.


The problem is my government plans on me paying for your delusions anyway


You seem more concerned with money and profit, than investment and benefit. Everyone wants that quick dollar, that's why people fall for the illusion of the Bernie Madoff types. I don't want to have to work for anything. It takes money, and time to make money. I bet you think "universal" health-care is social-ism too. What does that make -social-security ... full blown communism? If we are going to get into stereotyping dogmas, lets begin then.

I am wrong, you are right ... correct?

adsabs.harvard.edu/abs/2005E&PSL.236..305H
QUOTE
Knowledge of past atmospheric pCO2 is important for evaluating the role of greenhouse gases in climate forcing. Ice core records show the tight correlation between climate change and pCO2, but records are limited to the past ˜900 kyr. We present surface ocean pH and PCO2 data, reconstructed from boron isotopes in planktonic foraminifera over two full glacial cycles (0 140 and 300 420 kyr). The data co-vary strongly with the Vostok pCO2-record and demonstrate that the coupling between surface ocean chemistry and the atmosphere is recorded in marine archives, allowing for quantitative estimation of atmospheric pCO2 beyond the reach of ice cores.


www.nytimes.com/2009/04/05/science/...antarctica.html
www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/conte...9041003071.html
abcnews.go.com/GMA/story?id=7721695&page=1

More stupid people that just want all of your money.

QUOTE (->
QUOTE
Knowledge of past atmospheric pCO2 is important for evaluating the role of greenhouse gases in climate forcing. Ice core records show the tight correlation between climate change and pCO2, but records are limited to the past ˜900 kyr. We present surface ocean pH and PCO2 data, reconstructed from boron isotopes in planktonic foraminifera over two full glacial cycles (0 140 and 300 420 kyr). The data co-vary strongly with the Vostok pCO2-record and demonstrate that the coupling between surface ocean chemistry and the atmosphere is recorded in marine archives, allowing for quantitative estimation of atmospheric pCO2 beyond the reach of ice cores.


www.nytimes.com/2009/04/05/science/...antarctica.html
www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/conte...9041003071.html
abcnews.go.com/GMA/story?id=7721695&page=1

More stupid people that just want all of your money.

That would be those that intend to use it to stay in power even though evidence no longer supports it


What evidence? Computer models ... like the one they figured was inaccurate in the percentage of carbon filtering tropical oceans process? Which happens to suggest that we are producing more carbon than the model thought we were, because the tropical oceans were in-fact filtering more carbon than the model said they would?

1 person can push over a wall brick by brick. 9 billion ... that's another story.
How much money is your life worth? Not how much of it do you have in the bank.
Meem
What I don't think you understand is, I am not saying it is purely man-made, nor is natural cycle ... though technically it is, because men are natural to this planet. I am saying it is a result of both.
pnelson419
There is evidence of a reversal in the warming trend the last few years especially in 2008 and 2009 with predictions of a cooling trend for decades to come. [Moderator: Nope. A quick check shows that the global (land and sea) temperature anomaly is clearly above the linear trend as plotted from 1850-Now. At a minimum to make this claim the 95% high bound would have to dip below this line for a couple years. With the data as we have it, there is not reasonable room for an argument.]

I am all for doing what we can to control emissions especially in cities. I know all too well what smog is like.

I just think before the government passes legislation that is going to cripple an already strained economy and force people to pay much much more for utilities they need to be certain it is all necessary.

We will have a lot better idea during the next few years.
It just seems we are being made to believe everything needs to be done right now or it will be too late.

I was just kidding earlier about burning more fossil fuel but I am not ready to believe we are heading into a devastating period of global warming.
pnelson419
Dobbs Segment Warns of Coming Ice Age

http://www.eyeblast.tv/public/checker.aspx?v=yd4zSUqGnz
Meem
Everything can't be done right now, but we can start from this moment forward to move towards something with a better balance. If a 12 year old can redesign solar-cells* making them more efficient, what could the research department of any given firm do ... "on any given Sunday?"

*www.wired.com/geekdad/2008/09/12-year-old-rev/
QUOTE
William Yuan, a seventh-grader from Portland, OR, developed a three-dimensional solar cell that absorbs UV as well as visible light. The combination of the two might greatly improve cell efficiency. William’s project earned him a $25,000 scholarship and a trip to the Library of Congress to accept the award, which is usually given out for research at the graduate level.


I don't believe all this hype about how expensive it will be. It will only remain that way if more people don't join in the fun of reinventing the world, for the better. The initial investment maybe larger, but after so many years, you save more money ... in the long run. Everyone has this mindset for short term investment and instant access or return of. That's what got the economy in the hole to begin with. We forgot somewhere along the way that sometimes, you have to role up your sleeves and apply elbow grease.

LCD/Plasma TV's were 5-6k 5 years ago for a comparative-better "pos" one could get at Wal-mart for $500.-$1,000. dollars. Right around the corner, LED tvs are coming, 40% less energy than LCD's, but at about double the cost comparatively. The really cool thing around the corner, Sony's OLED* (organic-flexscreen-LED tv's). Those are very costly at the moment, because it's being developed and is not really in mass production. The technology and the know-how is out there, but we aren't investing in it, and with the investment and production of, said cost will decrease over time.

The problem is the old power structure, or money roots are going through convulsions because they sense the change coming, and instead of investing into the new frontier ... they are being left behind in the dust by 12 year old kids. Most of the lobbying for "clean coal," drill here-drill now BS is coming from that industry ... of course. No, things won't change overnight, but they can change, and it first starts with investing in tomorrow not yesterday. We can hold onto what we need from yesterday to get us to tomorrow, but do not need it like it is put on for us to believe we do.

Gas demand is still way down, there are no issues with supply, the economy hasn't gotten any better, but it seems to be leveling off ... so why has gas prices risen over a dollar per gallon in most places over the last 2 months ... because everyone drives in the summer ... "that's when we need to jack up the prices to make more money while we can ..." That's the truth.

*www.youtube.com/watch?v=NcAm3KihFho Sony OLED demo/article
pnelson419
OK,

You have a problem with domestic drilling and a free market determined economy in favor of what I believe an unsustainable government managed society.

Whatever.
Meem
The "free"-market would still be in "free"-fall if the government took no action. Do I think some arrow company needed a 250 million dollar alotment ... of course I do because I think Apollo is a "real God." Freedom isn't free, right ... the cost of real freedom is high, but the worth of it is imeasurable and usually takes the risk and sacrifice of lives. When it comes to economics ... the invesment is money. I thought life was/is a priceless "gift." Why do we insist on giving it all these trivial values, and to what ends by what means ... monitary profit?

If we want to be "free" of oil, and middle eastern conflict, we must let go of oil and move forward.

news.stanford.edu/news/2008/january9/nanowire-010908.html

QUOTE
The new technology, developed through research led by Yi Cui, assistant professor of materials science and engineering, produces 10 times the amount of electricity of existing lithium-ion, known as Li-ion, batteries. A laptop that now runs on battery for two hours could operate for 20 hours, a boon to ocean-hopping business travelers.

ui said that a patent application has been filed. He is considering formation of a company or an agreement with a battery manufacturer. Manufacturing the nanowire batteries would require "one or two different steps, but the process can certainly be scaled up," he added. "It's a well understood process."


If I could have my way, GM would be forced to invest my money into this and electric cars. Don't stop gas model production yet, but increase fuel economy, that's it. Drop the billions spent of making a new model or one trick pony every single year ... oh, we changed the bumper on this hummer, and it gets 8mpg, isn't that just amazing? $50k please, and if you don't have cash, we will get you financing that ultimately you can't afford, in this free-falling juggling act of bad credit and investment practice.
pnelson419
Government involvement created the bubble not the free market. The government will only make things worse in the long run as far as the economy.

If you think we will be free of oil anytime soon you are kidding yourself.

You think the government can spend it's way into prosperity.

We will see.
Meem
And my last thought before I study for a 75 question sociology test in the morning ...

If "God fearing" Americans think being "green" or having characteristics of being a "hippie" is crazy foolishness, that might as well be the same people in the bible that pointed their fingers at Noah and called him a crazy fool for saving all the animals and trying to build a means to protect the future with the ark. 40 days and 40 nights ... you think they had refrigerators back then? Maybe they made a crap ton of beef jerky (Don't mess with Sasquatch!)... because if all the animals came off two by two like they went on, they surely didn't eat any meat for at least a month ... unless they ate fish? Who knows ... right? Maybe Noah was the first crazy tree hugger.

I am not the wise man claiming to know the mind of God, any-one, let alone mine own, I am the fool who doesn't understand not one of them. But when my vision comes into play, I think I am better at identifying what is wrong rather than what is right. I'm sure that doesn't make any sense what-so-ever.

(edit)
QUOTE

You think the government can spend it's way into prosperity.

Just as long I buy the BS they want me to, sure ... what do you think Cheney did with Haliburton? I'm sure he's "prospered." 10-15 billion dollars a month on a war he now admits was not justified ... for how many years now? Get a gauge of where the real whole was dug. That's the free-market at work with no ethics or morals.

www.cbsnews.com/stories/2003/09/26/politics/main575356.shtml
news.yahoo.com/s/politico/20090602/pl_politico/23228
QUOTE (->
QUOTE

You think the government can spend it's way into prosperity.

Just as long I buy the BS they want me to, sure ... what do you think Cheney did with Haliburton? I'm sure he's "prospered." 10-15 billion dollars a month on a war he now admits was not justified ... for how many years now? Get a gauge of where the real whole was dug. That's the free-market at work with no ethics or morals.

www.cbsnews.com/stories/2003/09/26/politics/main575356.shtml
news.yahoo.com/s/politico/20090602/pl_politico/23228
Former Vice President *** Cheney says there was “never any evidence” that Saddam Hussein’s Iraq played any role in the Sept. 11, 2001, terrorist attacks on New York and Washington.

“On the question of whether or not Iraq was involved in 9/11, there was never any evidence to prove that,” Cheney said during an interview Monday night with Fox News’ Greta Van Susteren.

“There was some reporting early on, for example, that Mohammed Atta had met with a senior Iraqi intelligence official,” Cheney said. “But that was never borne out.”

In a 2003 interview on NBC’s “Meet the Press,” Cheney said that “the Czechs alleged that Mohamed Atta, the lead attacker, met in Prague with a senior Iraqi intelligence official five months before the attack.”

But Cheney added, “We’ve never been able to develop any more of that yet, either in terms of confirming it or discrediting it. We just don’t know.”


Define how you mean prosperity. What is truly prosperous?
QUOTE

Pros*per"i*ty\, n. [F. prosp['e]rit['e], L. prosperitas. See Prosperous.] The state of being prosperous; advance or gain in anything good or desirable; successful progress in any business or enterprise; attainment of the object desired; good fortune; success; as, commercial prosperity; national prosperity.

Now prosperity begins to mellow. --Shak.

Prosperities can only be enjoyed by them who fear not at all to lose them. -- Jer. Taylor.

Syn: Prosperousness; thrift; weal; welfare; well being; happiness.
Webster's Revised Unabridged Dictionary, © 1996, 1998 MICRA, Inc.


How do you measure your prosperity?
Money cannot buy happiness nor salvation I thought?
pnelson419
The one constitutional role of the federal government is to defend this country.

We had been in Iraq since freeing Kuwait since 1991 trying to protect sects in Iraq that were being murdered by their own leader. Saddam Hussein continued to defy the cease fire agreement giving UN weapons inspectors access to suspected areas.

The country was protected.

The sad part is not how much the cost was in terms of money but the lives of those taken as a result.
RobDegraves
So ...

In order to protect your country you invaded another country that posed no threat to yours whatsoever?

By that reasoning... I imagine Monaco is next.
pnelson419
QUOTE (pnelson419+Jun 7 2009, 07:51 PM)
There is evidence of a reversal in the warming trend the last few years especially in 2008 and 2009 with predictions of a cooling trend for decades to come. [Moderator: Nope. A quick check shows that the global (land and sea) temperature anomaly is clearly above the linear trend as plotted from 1850-Now. At a minimum to make this claim the 95% high bound would have to dip below this line for a couple years. With the data as we have it, there is not reasonable room for an argument.]


rpenner,

I was watching the Discovery Channel about 2 hours ago saying exactly what I said about this cooling trend and its relation to Sun spots.

Maybe you need to tell them to check their data.
Meem
QUOTE
The number of luxury Euro vehicles in you garage?
Thank you.


laugh.gif So true.

Whatever prosperity is, I think it's something that can be seen in the condition of children. This is one of the reasons I don't care to prove to anyone that I could become a doctorate in several given fields (I associate the tittle of Dr. with someone that installs boobs on bozos- No offense to any "true" champions of a better cause) and amass ... stuffs. I would much rather amass a shared experience I will find in teaching a young mind to ask better questions. And if I am to be prosperous, it will be because perhaps ... I inspired it, not that I am in possession of it. wink.gif

I want to teach middle-school science, however, I will always be a student myself.


(edit)
QUOTE (->
QUOTE
The number of luxury Euro vehicles in you garage?
Thank you.


laugh.gif So true.

Whatever prosperity is, I think it's something that can be seen in the condition of children. This is one of the reasons I don't care to prove to anyone that I could become a doctorate in several given fields (I associate the tittle of Dr. with someone that installs boobs on bozos- No offense to any "true" champions of a better cause) and amass ... stuffs. I would much rather amass a shared experience I will find in teaching a young mind to ask better questions. And if I am to be prosperous, it will be because perhaps ... I inspired it, not that I am in possession of it. wink.gif

I want to teach middle-school science, however, I will always be a student myself.


(edit)

I was watching the Discovery Channel about 2 hours ago saying exactly what I said about this cooling trend and its relation to Sun spots.


You know the sun is about to enter a increase sunspot activity cycle right? Maybe you should try real data oriented and less opinionated sources than television?

solarscience.msfc.nasa.gov/SunspotCycle.shtml

QUOTE
We find a starting time of March 2008 with minimum occurring in November or December 2008 and maximum in March or April 2013. The predicted numbers are available in a text file, as a GIF image, and as a pdf-file. As the cycle progresses, the prediction process switches over to giving more weight to the fitting of the monthly values to the cycle shape function. At this phase of cycle 24 we now give little weight to the curve-fitting technique of Hathaway, Wilson, and Reichmann Solar Physics  151, 177 (1994). That technique currently gives highly uncertain (but small) values.


HOAX!!!


pnelson419
QUOTE (Meem+Jun 7 2009, 11:57 PM)
You know the sun is about to enter a increase sunspot activity cycle right? Maybe you should try real data oriented and less opinionated sources than television?

solarscience.msfc.nasa.gov/SunspotCycle.shtml



HOAX!!!

I just thought it was interesting that a segment on a science channel backed up what I was just talking about here.

You can accept it or not.

Meem
QUOTE
The one constitutional role of the federal government is to defend this country.

We had been in Iraq since freeing Kuwait since 1991 trying to protect sects in Iraq that were being murdered by their own leader. Saddam Hussein continued to defy the cease fire agreement giving UN weapons inspectors access to suspected areas.

The country was protected.

The sad part is not how much the cost was in terms of money but the lives of those taken as a result



Uh, you can't force freedom on people that don't want it. The Iraqis you think you know you're talking about, are what most people commonly know as or refer to being Kurdish people. If you are talking about the thousands I think you mean. I was in Erbil, or Irbil Iraq ... depending on what sign you're looking at. I was a biological integrated detection systems specialist for the Army.

I got to take a tour of the city, to include the old interior of. I was escorted by a man that was a Kurdish English professor that chance, fate, or ... something like that happened to throw in my path that day. It was one of the more profound experiences of my life. "Those" people want the type of freedom we would offer, but we can't go changing international maps just because we see fit. The situation is unfortunate, and things won't change till all of "those other" people want them to.

True freedom is not ever taken nor given, it is discovered. The whole of Iraq wanted to be free of Saddam, not because they (some did yes, but not nearly enough) wanted our version of freedom, but because they were tired of his. We have essentially shaken up an old bag emotion in that region with yet another crusade, and again the pretense seems to be noble, but the bottom line is what is in our best interest, or chance to gain or make profit. They posed no real threat to us what-so-ever. If we are just the evil west, lets just be evil and stay in the west and let the middle east deal with the middle east, this doesn't mean the sacrificing of allies nor the witch hunting of enemies.

It always has been a rather precarious situation, but it doesn't have to be that way ... does it? You want to see how college kids handle responsibility and stressful situations? Look up college drinking statistics, now take those "same" kids ... and give them, planes, tanks, bombs, guns, and the fear of being killed.
That is how you make a bad situation worse. We can easily see the physical cost of the war in the present, but the real cost will be with us for many years to come down the mental road. It is not worth what it is costing us. It is a bad investment with no return value in terms of prospering humanity at the cost of humanity. Just like innocent civilians get bombed over there, innocents are effected here when they get the news of death of, or a loved one returns not quite the same person they were when they left. Luckily for me, the experience I "sufffered" changed me, for the the better.
QUOTE (->
QUOTE
The one constitutional role of the federal government is to defend this country.

We had been in Iraq since freeing Kuwait since 1991 trying to protect sects in Iraq that were being murdered by their own leader. Saddam Hussein continued to defy the cease fire agreement giving UN weapons inspectors access to suspected areas.

The country was protected.

The sad part is not how much the cost was in terms of money but the lives of those taken as a result



Uh, you can't force freedom on people that don't want it. The Iraqis you think you know you're talking about, are what most people commonly know as or refer to being Kurdish people. If you are talking about the thousands I think you mean. I was in Erbil, or Irbil Iraq ... depending on what sign you're looking at. I was a biological integrated detection systems specialist for the Army.

I got to take a tour of the city, to include the old interior of. I was escorted by a man that was a Kurdish English professor that chance, fate, or ... something like that happened to throw in my path that day. It was one of the more profound experiences of my life. "Those" people want the type of freedom we would offer, but we can't go changing international maps just because we see fit. The situation is unfortunate, and things won't change till all of "those other" people want them to.

True freedom is not ever taken nor given, it is discovered. The whole of Iraq wanted to be free of Saddam, not because they (some did yes, but not nearly enough) wanted our version of freedom, but because they were tired of his. We have essentially shaken up an old bag emotion in that region with yet another crusade, and again the pretense seems to be noble, but the bottom line is what is in our best interest, or chance to gain or make profit. They posed no real threat to us what-so-ever. If we are just the evil west, lets just be evil and stay in the west and let the middle east deal with the middle east, this doesn't mean the sacrificing of allies nor the witch hunting of enemies.

It always has been a rather precarious situation, but it doesn't have to be that way ... does it? You want to see how college kids handle responsibility and stressful situations? Look up college drinking statistics, now take those "same" kids ... and give them, planes, tanks, bombs, guns, and the fear of being killed.
That is how you make a bad situation worse. We can easily see the physical cost of the war in the present, but the real cost will be with us for many years to come down the mental road. It is not worth what it is costing us. It is a bad investment with no return value in terms of prospering humanity at the cost of humanity. Just like innocent civilians get bombed over there, innocents are effected here when they get the news of death of, or a loved one returns not quite the same person they were when they left. Luckily for me, the experience I "sufffered" changed me, for the the better.

"Death is not the worst that can happen to men."
Plato

"Life is a process of becoming, a combination of states we have to go through. Where people fail is that they wish to elect a state and remain in it. This is a kind of death."
Anais Nin
pnelson419
QUOTE (Meem+Jun 8 2009, 12:48 AM)
The Iraqis you think you know you're talking about, are what most people commonly know as or refer to being Kurdish people.

By sects I was referring to Kurds and Shiites.

I just wasn't sure you knew the history behind the war.

Thanks for your service.

Goodnight.

skepticgriggsy
[B] Meem, climate change deniers aren't skeptics as they do not proceed from real knowledge but from pieces and distortions of knowledge. They should educate themselves by Googling Real Climate to get email that would educate them.They are like creationists- faith-based quacks.
I, a liberal ,have more trust in regulated capitalism to overcome bad climate change and thereby making more and better jobs than do libertarians, those reactionaries!
Let Boone Pickens make billions off his climate project!
Moderator, thanks for that correction.
And, moderator, please get someone to put all my posts and threads under skeptic griggsy rather than separately under skeptic griggsy, skepticgriggsy and griggs1947 [ At least, under one nickname, whichever.]. I have altogether more than 200 post, not just the ones numbered under this nickname. I had to use more than the first one- griggs1947- in order to post again. Thank you.
nopEda
QUOTE (pnelson419+Jun 7 2009, 06:54 PM)
Global warming is the illusion.

The supposed "illusion" is caused by increasing temperatures and diminishing ice caps. So maybe recognition of what is happening isn't also an illusion, but instead the illusion is held by different people...those who deny what is happening. Out of curiosity though, if not warming temperatures what do you think is causing the ice to diminish? Do you think maybe it's getting too cold for it so it's beginning to migrate, or what?
pnelson419
QUOTE (nopEda+Jul 20 2009, 10:22 AM)
The supposed "illusion" is caused by increasing temperatures and diminishing ice caps. So maybe recognition of what is happening isn't also an illusion, but instead the illusion is held by different people...those who deny what is happening. Out of curiosity though, if not warming temperatures what do you think is causing the ice to diminish? Do you think maybe it's getting too cold for it so it's beginning to migrate, or what?
nopEda
QUOTE (pnelson419+Jul 20 2009, 10:51 PM)
http://www.scrippsnews.com/node/32821

QUOTE (http://www.scrippsnews.com/node/32821+)
NASA satellites found that last winter's Arctic Sea ice covered 2 million square kilometers (772,000 square miles) more than the last three years' average. It also was 10 to 20 centimeters (about 4-8 inches) thicker than in 2007.

Oh, so the documentaries about it and all the scientists who agree with it and show us video of where ice should be but is no longer are lying? There really are not polar bears and other wildlife dying as a result, but instead they are thriving better than they have been due to more ice and lower temperatures? It's amazing that so many scientists and institutions are getting away with deliberately lying about what's going on, while a few other sources are exposing their lies. Every country and every scientific organization I've seen comment on it has been lying, and only a rare few people are coming forward with the truth about the lies of everybody else? Hard to believe really. It seems more likely that the scientists are correct, and the "rare few people" are the ones who are lying. Maybe not, but that certainly seems most likely so far.
pnelson419
QUOTE (nopEda+Jul 20 2009, 07:49 PM)
QUOTE (http://www.scrippsnews.com/node/32821+)
NASA satellites found that last winter's Arctic Sea ice covered 2 million square kilometers (772,000 square miles) more than the last three years' average. It also was 10 to 20 centimeters (about 4-8 inches) thicker than in 2007.

Oh, so the documentaries about it and all the scientists who agree with it and show us video of where ice should be but is no longer are lying? There really are not polar bears and other wildlife dying as a result, but instead they are thriving better than they have been due to more ice and lower temperatures? It's amazing that so many scientists and institutions are getting away with deliberately lying about what's going on, while a few other sources are exposing their lies. Every country and every scientific organization I've seen comment on it has been lying, and only a rare few people are coming forward with the truth about the lies of everybody else? Hard to believe really. It seems more likely that the scientists are correct, and the "rare few people" are the ones who are lying. Maybe not, but that certainly seems most likely so far.

I am going to predict the future.

The planet is getting cooler and there is nothing we can do about it.
nopEda
QUOTE (pnelson419+Jul 21 2009, 12:12 AM)
QUOTE (nopEda+)
Every country and every scientific organization I've seen comment on it has been lying, and only a rare few people are coming forward with the truth about the lies of everybody else? Hard to believe really. It seems more likely that the scientists are correct, and the "rare few people" are the ones who are lying. Maybe not, but that certainly seems most likely so far.

I am going to predict the future.

The planet is getting cooler and there is nothing we can do about it.

May be. Maybe not. So far most people who appear interested in it seem to believe you're wrong. The only thing that's certain is that one side is lying since they can't both be right. The poles can't be getting both larger and smaller for example, so who's lying and why?
buttershug
QUOTE (nopEda+Jul 21 2009, 03:46 PM)
I am going to predict the future.

The planet is getting cooler and there is nothing we can do about it.[/QUOTE]
May be. Maybe not. So far most people who appear interested in it seem to believe you're wrong. The only thing that's certain is that one side is lying since they can't both be right. The poles can't be getting both larger and smaller for example, so who's lying and why?

You really love bad logic don't you?
Yet another false dichotomy.


How can you possibly not consider that one side is mistaken?
But you change. "accurate,mistaken, or lying" into "truth or lying"
nopEda
QUOTE (buttershug+Jul 21 2009, 04:39 PM)
QUOTE (nopEda+)
The only thing that's certain is that one side is lying since they can't both be right. The poles can't be getting both larger and smaller for example, so who's lying and why?

You really love bad logic don't you?
Yet another false dichotomy.

How can you possibly not consider that one side is mistaken?

I do tend to overestimate(?) people in that area. I tend to believe people usually really do know when they're lying, especially about something as blatant as this. Are the ice caps getting larger or smaller? They can't be doing both at the same time, and anyone who is going to make a solid claim about it should certainly take the time to find out. So we have two groups of people who certainly should have taken the time to find out whether they are getting larger or smaller, and one group claims the former while the other claims the latter. dry.gif Since BOTH groups SHOULD know the truth, and they say conflicting things, it seems by far most likely that one group is deliberately lying. That much has been established from my pov, so what we're left with is a question we're always left with when being lied to: WHY??? This time so far we're also left with: WHO? In fact it may be easier to learn who than it is to learn why huh.gif if we can ever learn either.
buttershug
If you can learn, you would be wise to ignore any arguements with the word "should" in them.

It's possible for each side to be biased but not lying.
pnelson419
QUOTE (nopEda+Jul 21 2009, 06:21 PM)
Are the ice caps getting larger or smaller?
buttershug
try August for the Actic.

In the late 70's I read that global warming meant colder winters.
pnelson419
QUOTE (buttershug+Jul 21 2009, 09:35 PM)
try August for the Actic.

In the late 70's I read that global warming meant colder winters.

Since there is not yet any data for August 2009 how about June 2009?
buttershug
QUOTE (pnelson419+Jul 22 2009, 01:45 AM)
Since there is not yet any data for August 2009 how about June 2009?

August 2008 was interesting.
pnelson419
QUOTE (buttershug+Jul 21 2009, 09:59 PM)
August 2008 was interesting.

Did you compare it to August 07?

I think it will be interesting to see July and August 09 compared to 08.
rpenner
The plural of anecdote is not data. You have to establish a methodology and establish a baseline over at least 25 years to make inferences about climate change. Comparing isolated data points is just talking about the weather.

From Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (2007): Chapter 4 covers sea ice (8+ MB).
QUOTE (Section 4.8+p. 374)
Observations show a consistent picture of surface warming and reduction in all components of the cryosphere (FAQ 4.1, Figure 1),¹ except antarctic sea ice, which exhibits a small positive but insignificant trend since 1978 (Figure 4.23).

¹ Surface air temperature data are updated from Jones and Moberg, 2003; sea ice data are updated from Comiso, 2003; frozen ground data are from Zhang et al., 2003; snow  cover data are updated from Brown et al., 2000; glacier mass balance data are from Ohmura, 2004; Cogley, 2005; and Dyurgerov and Meier, 2005.
QUOTE (FAQ 4.1+p. 376)
Since 1978, satellite data have provided continuous coverage of sea ice extent in both polar regions. For the Arctic, average annual sea ice extent has decreased by 2.7 ± 0.6% per decade, while summer sea ice extent has decreased by 7.4 ± 2.4% per decade. The antarctic sea ice extent exhibits no significant trend.
nopEda
QUOTE (buttershug+Jul 21 2009, 11:15 PM)
It's possible for each side to be biased but not lying.

Sometimes. You may be right about some of them this time. Doing a Google image search for global temperature chart is a quick way to see how much difference there is in different charts. Some show that temperatures are getting higher, and some that they are getting lower. It still seems some of those people must know and are lying, since it can't all be true.
flyingbuttressman
QUOTE (nopEda+Jul 22 2009, 02:22 PM)
Sometimes. You may be right about some of them this time. Doing a Google image search for global temperature chart is a quick way to see how much difference there is in different charts. Some show that temperatures are getting higher, and some that they are getting lower. It still seems some of those people must know and are lying, since it can't all be true.

It's the global average temperature that is rising.
buttershug
QUOTE (nopEda+Jul 22 2009, 07:22 PM)
Sometimes. You may be right about some of them this time. Doing a Google image search for global temperature chart is a quick way to see how much difference there is in different charts. Some show that temperatures are getting higher, and some that they are getting lower. It still seems some of those people must know and are lying, since it can't all be true.

A lot of nonsense "seems" to be true to you.

Einstein said "there are two things that are infinite, the Universe and human stupidity, and I"m not sure about the Universe." Or something like that.

Don't think people are lying when they could simply be stupid.
We don't accuse you of lying.
nopEda
QUOTE (buttershug+Jul 22 2009, 08:33 PM)
A lot of nonsense "seems" to be true to you.

Einstein said "there are two things that are infinite, the Universe and human stupidity, and I"m not sure about the Universe."  Or something like that.

Don't think people are lying when they could simply be stupid.
We don't accuse you of lying.

Even though I haven't lied about anything it is surprising that I haven't been accused of it more often by this group, now that you mention it. Someone is lying about global warming though, but as yet we don't know who it is.
pnelson419
QUOTE (nopEda+Jul 22 2009, 3:22 PM)
Sometimes. You may be right about some of them this time. Doing a Google image search for global temperature chart is a quick way to see how much difference there is in different charts. Some show that temperatures are getting higher, and some that they are getting lower. 

U.S. Records
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration

Records Look-Up
pnelson419
U.S. Climate at a Glance
nopEda
QUOTE (pnelson419+Jul 23 2009, 02:38 PM)
U.S. Climate at a Glance

Really the thing to do would be get a good feel for how the cycle WAS going 60 or 100 years ago or whatever, and then see if it seemed to change when humans started dumping sh*t into the atmospere. It could be that we were already in a warming cycle and humans are making it worse... And then if you could get familiar with that you would need to find out how much influence greenhouse gasses actually have, and how much sun spots have, etc. And there's always someone to say one thing is the main thing. I saw an older documentary that said in Africa termites produce more Co2 (or whatever) than all the large grazing animals in the grass lands. It's too much trouble to try to figure out who's full of shitter than the other guy...
buttershug
QUOTE (nopEda+Jul 23 2009, 03:05 AM)
Even though I haven't lied about anything it is surprising that I haven't been accused of it more often by this group, now that you mention it. Someone is lying about global warming though, but as yet we don't know who it is.

you didn't pick up on the insult did you?

I said
QUOTE
Don't think people are lying when they could simply be stupid
.
Then I said we don't think you are lieing.

Ok slowly now, you could be a)stupid or cool.gif lieing.

No one here thinks the answer is cool.gif, that leaves...

you also didn't notice I used your technique of creating a false dichotomy and eliminating one side.
pnelson419
QUOTE (nopEda+Jul 26 2009, 06:37 PM)
Really the thing to do would be get a good feel for how the cycle WAS going 60 or 100 years ago or whatever, and then see if it seemed to change when humans started dumping sh*t into the atmospere. It could be that we were already in a warming cycle and humans are making it worse... And then if you could get familiar with that you would need to find out how much influence greenhouse gasses actually have, and how much sun spots have, etc. And there's always someone to say one thing is the main thing. I saw an older documentary that said in Africa termites produce more Co2 (or whatever) than all the large grazing animals in the grass lands. It's too much trouble to try to figure out who's full of shitter than the other guy...

There are qualified scientists on both sides of the debate honestly trying to determine what effects the climate and what if anything can be done about.

The real question is where it is heading.
http://climateresources.org/prediction.htm
nopEda
QUOTE (buttershug+Jul 27 2009, 12:15 AM)
you could be a)stupid or cool.gif lieing.

No one here thinks the answer is cool.gif, that leaves...

I don't believe you people are literally lying when you insist God could be a technologically inferior native of this planet even though I'm convinced you're wrong, since it appears you are actually stupid enough to think that could be the case even though none of you can explain how you think it possibly could be.
nopEda
QUOTE (pnelson419+Jul 27 2009, 01:21 AM)
There are qualified scientists on both sides of the debate honestly trying to determine what effects the climate and what if anything can be done about.

The real question is where it is heading.
http://climateresources.org/prediction.htm

Also why. Also how much influence cutting back on emmisions has had. In fact that would be one of the main things to learn...if it's having an influence then we learn that and if not then we learn that instead... And if it is having no difference, then what else are we able to do? If sun spots are the major influence then there probably isn't much we can do about that.
buttershug
QUOTE (nopEda+Jul 27 2009, 04:12 PM)
I don't believe you people are literally lying when you insist God could be a technologically inferior native of this planet even though I'm convinced you're wrong, since it appears you are actually stupid enough to think that could be the case even though none of you can explain how you think it possibly could be.

We say you are operating under a false dichotomy.
Also using definitions you have been told are in valid.
pnelson419
QUOTE (nopEda+Jul 27 2009, 12:17 PM)
Also why. Also how much influence cutting back on emmisions has had. In fact that would be one of the main things to learn...if it's having an influence then we learn that and if not then we learn that instead... And if it is having no difference, then what else are we able to do? If sun spots are the major influence then there probably isn't much we can do about that.

I have a suggestion.

Watch the global temperature index for the next few years. If it goes down following a natural cyclical pattern then it would seem man has little influence on the climate. If it goes up then maybe man is having a greater impact.

Even then it would still be hard to tell how much influence we have on the Earth's climate.
skepticgriggsy
Climate scientists take into consideration the sun's cycle and the episodic nature of Earth's cycles. So, their conclusions are conclusive. There are very few competent scientists who can challenge them The pseudo-scientists reflect the interests of the oil industry and the libertarians[ reactionaries].
True skeptics do not decide a priori [beforehand] to find claims true or not, so it is egregious to call climate change deniers skeptics!
Climate change affords a grand opportunity for entrepreneurs to aid in getting under control the noxious parts of climate change and thereby increase better jobs. American ingenuity can overcome these problems. We who hold to regulated free enterprise shout that from the industrial plant tops.
By the way, regulations requires itself in order for the market to be competitive and to guarantee health and safety and consumer protections. Without them, we would indeed be on the road to serfdom!
Google Real Climate to ponder honest comment on climate change. wink.gif
When I click a smile, it only goes to the last sentence. mad.gif angry should have gone after skeptics
buttershug
The real cause of climate change
http://www.usatoday.com/news/religion/2009...er-prayer_N.htm

Those guys were praying too hard. But don't worry they are going to change the prayer.
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