Posted in response to Buttershug by: MisterBelfry Today at 5:17 AM
QUOTE
I still think you don't understand what I was getting at about the lottery earlier.
Jesús Mosterín
The scientific community soon became sick of these speculations. Already in 1931 Beck, Hans Bethe and Riezler spoofed Eddigton’s numerology in a parody they managed to get published in Naturwissenschaften. It was a curious precursor of Alan Sokal’s 1996 ‘hoax’ paper. In 1937 Herbert Dingle denounced in Nature the whole speculative approach: “This combination of paralysis of the reason with intoxication of the fancy is shown, if possible, even more strongly in Prof. Dirac's letter in Nature ... in which he, too, appears victim of the great ‘Universe’-mania ... Milne and Dirac ... plunge headlong into an ocean of ‘principles’ of their own making ... The criterion for distinguishing sense from nonsense has to a large extent been lost...”
In 1961 Robert Dicke published in Nature a short paper entitled “Dirac's cosmology and Mach's principle”. Dicke rejected Dirac's speculation about the change of G in time and found a simpler explanation in the selection effect (on possible values of the constants) of the fact that we humans are here. So the Hubble time T elapsed since the big bang (the age of the universe) “is not a ‘random choice’ from a wide range of possible choices, but is limited by the criteria for the existence of physicists.” So the values of T are constrained by the requirement “that the universe, hence galaxy, shall have aged sufficiently for there to exist elements other than hydrogen. It is well known that carbon is required to make physicists.” Dirac published a short reply to Dicke, saying that Dicke's analysis was sound, but that he (Dirac) preferred his own argument because it allowed for the possibility that planets “could exist indefinitely in the future and life need never end.”
QUOTE
Behe's argument is a God of the gaps argument. It is a lack of imagination argument. Because he personally cannot see how something could have arisen without all of what he considers to be necessary parts, he chalks it up to God.
No. The only gap, in his world, that needs filled is the start and the consequent Anthropic Principle. Rpenner said something about the "master cell"*. That sounds good but I think the Principle relies on Laws yet to be uncovered that would sufficiently bring sense to the odds in light of Hubble's Constant.
MrB.
*-------->Showtopic= 21405.
To wit:
"I read this story by Robert Matthews yesterday AFTER my two posts (the other ---->Showtopic= 20892** which also directs you to Showtopic= 20875).
I'll quote a portion of the last third of the article, right after Thomas Bayes is introduced as a mathematician and not a reverend (which I think was really his profession(but that is the normal New Scientist's bias for Evolutionists which has plenty of forum lapdogs)), "Unlike Popper's concept of science, the Bayesian view doesn't collapse the instant it comes into contact with real life." Otherwise {multiverse aside for Bayesian Bible readers}, this article (in the same issue as "Stuart Kauffman redefines god" which I haven't read yet (dare I say, in any universe?)), as far as I can tell, is extremely well balanced and not just for New Scientist's editorial board. Stuart Kauffman is my source for the "fourth law" that seems to have befuddled MjolnirPants** so. Those that have responded to my posts yesterday, prove themselves not well read. And I suppose you can double that number.
MrB."
QUOTE (->
| QUOTE |
I still think you don't understand what I was getting at about the lottery earlier. |
Jesús Mosterín
The scientific community soon became sick of these speculations. Already in 1931 Beck, Hans Bethe and Riezler spoofed Eddigton’s numerology in a parody they managed to get published in Naturwissenschaften. It was a curious precursor of Alan Sokal’s 1996 ‘hoax’ paper. In 1937 Herbert Dingle denounced in Nature the whole speculative approach: “This combination of paralysis of the reason with intoxication of the fancy is shown, if possible, even more strongly in Prof. Dirac's letter in Nature ... in which he, too, appears victim of the great ‘Universe’-mania ... Milne and Dirac ... plunge headlong into an ocean of ‘principles’ of their own making ... The criterion for distinguishing sense from nonsense has to a large extent been lost...”
In 1961 Robert Dicke published in Nature a short paper entitled “Dirac's cosmology and Mach's principle”. Dicke rejected Dirac's speculation about the change of G in time and found a simpler explanation in the selection effect (on possible values of the constants) of the fact that we humans are here. So the Hubble time T elapsed since the big bang (the age of the universe) “is not a ‘random choice’ from a wide range of possible choices, but is limited by the criteria for the existence of physicists.” So the values of T are constrained by the requirement “that the universe, hence galaxy, shall have aged sufficiently for there to exist elements other than hydrogen. It is well known that carbon is required to make physicists.” Dirac published a short reply to Dicke, saying that Dicke's analysis was sound, but that he (Dirac) preferred his own argument because it allowed for the possibility that planets “could exist indefinitely in the future and life need never end.”
QUOTE
Behe's argument is a God of the gaps argument. It is a lack of imagination argument. Because he personally cannot see how something could have arisen without all of what he considers to be necessary parts, he chalks it up to God.
No. The only gap, in his world, that needs filled is the start and the consequent Anthropic Principle. Rpenner said something about the "master cell"*. That sounds good but I think the Principle relies on Laws yet to be uncovered that would sufficiently bring sense to the odds in light of Hubble's Constant.
MrB.
*-------->Showtopic= 21405.
To wit:
"I read this story by Robert Matthews yesterday AFTER my two posts (the other ---->Showtopic= 20892** which also directs you to Showtopic= 20875).
I'll quote a portion of the last third of the article, right after Thomas Bayes is introduced as a mathematician and not a reverend (which I think was really his profession(but that is the normal New Scientist's bias for Evolutionists which has plenty of forum lapdogs)), "Unlike Popper's concept of science, the Bayesian view doesn't collapse the instant it comes into contact with real life." Otherwise {multiverse aside for Bayesian Bible readers}, this article (in the same issue as "Stuart Kauffman redefines god" which I haven't read yet (dare I say, in any universe?)), as far as I can tell, is extremely well balanced and not just for New Scientist's editorial board. Stuart Kauffman is my source for the "fourth law" that seems to have befuddled MjolnirPants** so. Those that have responded to my posts yesterday, prove themselves not well read. And I suppose you can double that number.
MrB."
Simploe chemistry and basic probability.
No. To quote that Kauffman piece, "The process of reinventing the sacred requires a fresh understanding of science that takes into account complexity theory...It will require a shift from reductionism,... The second transition in our view of science is based on Darwinian pre-adaptations. ...there seems to be no natural law sufficient to describe Darwinian pre-adaptations."
To quote myself again {Showtopic= 20892},
"The science is in the eschatology.
Evolution proposes nonsense. Devolution is the reality of thermodynamics. Now Evolutionists will try to respond with a fourth law or something, but that just helps prove Devolution by means of Supernatural Selection as a working model."
In an ocean of principles, biogenesis swims ahead of the rest.
MrB.
Gorgeous
29th May 2008 - 09:05 AM
Everybody is an 'evolutionist' by default of existing.
g.
Sinister Utopia
31st May 2008 - 05:17 AM
QUOTE (Gorgeous+May 29 2008, 09:05 AM)
Everybody is an 'evolutionist' by default of existing.
g.
...And the most accomplished Biologist, it's just that we are trying to figure out how we are.
Gorgeous
31st May 2008 - 11:10 PM
QUOTE (Sinister Utopia+May 31 2008, 05:17 AM)
...And the most accomplished Biologist, it's just that we are trying to figure out how we are.
Well, how are you?
g.
Sinister Utopia
31st May 2008 - 11:41 PM
QUOTE (Gorgeous+May 31 2008, 11:10 PM)
Well, how are you?
g.
Finely tuned
Gorgeous
31st May 2008 - 11:45 PM
QUOTE (Sinister Utopia+May 31 2008, 11:41 PM)
Finely tuned
Glad to hear it... Give us a 'G'!
g.
Sinister Utopia
31st May 2008 - 11:55 PM
QUOTE (Gorgeous+May 31 2008, 11:45 PM)
Glad to hear it... Give us a 'G'!
g.
G
Gorgeous
1st June 2008 - 12:00 AM
QUOTE (Sinister Utopia+May 31 2008, 11:55 PM)
G
Wow....sounds crystal clear this end!
g.
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