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Futuretalk
Molecular nanotech promises increased wealth, longer life
By Futuretalk

Arthur C. Clarke once said, “Any sufficiently advanced technology is virtually indistinguishable from magic.” Enter humanity’s newest plunge into magic – molecular nanotechnology.

Whether you fear it, welcome it, don’t understand it, or think it’s too crazy to be true, this most hyped science of all time promises a utopian future with no food shortages or disease, and a world of leisure and indefinite lifespan for everyone on Earth.

To achieve this remarkable future, researchers must first create a tiny microscopic-size robot assembler that can grab individual atoms and organize them into items. Futurists at the Center for Responsible Nanotechnology predict that the first assembler will be developed between 2010 and 2020.

The next step, experts say, is to build a small countertop machine called a nano-replicator with billions of assemblers inside, which can be instructed to extract atoms from waste materials or something as plentiful as dirt or seawater, and reassemble those atoms into food, appliances, clothing, or other desired products. Positive futurists believe that nano-replicators could be working in U.S. homes by 2025.

In their book, Revolutionary Wealth, Alvin and Heidi Toffler argue that we are on the verge of a post-scarcity time that will slash poverty around the world. Futurist Steve Burgess agrees. In an on-line essay, he predicts that nano-replicators will launch an era of abundance for everyone.

Nano-theorist Robert Freitas, in a recent Lifeboat Foundation interview, claims that molecular nanotech will wreak havoc with economies of every nation in the world. With products available free from nano-replicators, humans will become pure consumers without need to produce goods or provide services. This will eventually reduce the value of human labor to zero.

However in this futuristic nano-world, forward-thinkers believe that there will be little need for money. All living costs could eventually be eliminated; and even expenses for public projects like roads, buildings, and government activities would be abolished with tomorrow’s nano-assembler technologies.

Freitas adds, “Not only will nanotech provide us with a lot of cool stuff and eliminate global poverty; it will also help us achieve a much longer lifespan.” He predicts that by 2010, nano-products will diagnose illnesses and destroy cancer cells and by late 2020s, tiny cell-repair mechanisms will roam through our bodies keeping us strong, youthful, and forever healthy.

Most gerontologists agree that aging, and therefore “natural” death occurs when the body’s cellular structure cannot repair itself. Cell-repair machines will allow us to rejuvenate damaged cells, eliminate disease and heal injuries. In addition, since aging is a result of accumulated tissue destruction, it will be possible to undo or reverse damages already inflicted. The young will remain young; the old will become young.

As molecular nanotech matures, its impact will affect nearly everyone. Labor-free products from replicators could devastate economies and many governments are scrambling for ways to manage the impact of this technology.

Clearly, the road to molecular nanotechnology winds around unknown, possibly even dangerous turns. However, strong commerce and government support continue to drive this revolution forward and it will unfold in our lifetime. Futuristic? Certainly. Possible? Absolutely. This science promises to change our lives beyond our wildest dreams. Get ready Gang, for a most amazing “magical future.”

This article will appear in various print media and blogs; comments welcome. See other published work by Futuretalk at http://www.positivefuturist.com and click on the “published work” tab.
Gehn
As usual, I think you are being a bit too positive about the dates associated with this technology. I think it will be at least 2100 before we get counter top nano-replicators. The technology will not be that hard to build - it's just that the price will be a little bit beyond the reach of your average citizen.

However, I think that the cell repair mechanisms are quite realistic, and could be playing a part in increasing our lifespans sometime soon.
Futuretalk
Of course nobody knows for sure when the world’s first “assembler” will be developed. Information we have today includes several aggressive companies wanting to be first to market with this marvel product – IBM, Zyvex, Nanorex, and others. Will they see success by 2020 or before? Most nano information sources believe that at least one of them will.

Once controllable assemblers become available, there will be many applications to utilize this new technology including replicator machines in factories and homes, medical nanobots, environmental uses such as converting saltwater to freshwater, soil enrichment, and one day even changing the atmosphere to prevent damaging storms.

Although companies developing this product may hope to make their investors become the world’s first trillionaires, many positive futurists believe that home replicators could actually be offered free with revenues coming from supplied chemicals that provide the mix of atoms required to make certain items, and software instructions necessary to instruct the robot assemblers how to build the product.

Admittedly, at this stage it is only guesswork how this will all unfold, but I believe the timing is correct; that countertop replicators will be in American homes by mid-2020s, and medical nanobots will be whizzing through our veins by 2030 or before.

I think molecular nanotech represents a major milestone in achieving our “magical future” and I only hope that biotech miracles expected in the 2010s will materialize in time to keep my body healthy so that I personally can enjoy this wonder time.

Comments welcome.
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