Nope, I looked, couldn't find your Vid.
You made the claim but showed up with no evidence.
As to your next claim, yeah but it's higher than a 100 year flood:
Arthur
I realize that is a NWS spokesperson, but this is definitely NOT a 500 year flood. It is not even a 100 year flood.
This is hyperbole.
It only broke records in a few gauge locations, and those records are only valid back to the 1937 flood, 84 years ago.
the 1927 flood was just as high, and since the modern levees did not exist to constrain it vertically, it was over a broader flood plain, therefore having several times as much water volume as the current flood.
This particular Mississippi river flood is therefore not even a 100 year flood in many locations.
It was not even a "Levee era" record flood in many locations, and the levee era is 84 years, so it could not possibly be a 500 year flood...
[q]A one-hundred-year flood is calculated to be the level of flood water expected to be equaled or exceeded every 100 years on average. The 100-year flood is more accurately referred to as the 1% flood, since it is a flood that has a 1% chance of being equaled or exceeded in any single year.[/q]
The current flowrate levels have already been equaled at least once in the levee era, as stated, and that was 84 years ago. They did not even break the records in the Memphis crest, where they were over a foot below the previous levee era record.
The flow rate levels were greatly exceeded in the 1927 flood, 94 years ago.
The existing flood is not a 100 year flood, though it is statistically close, being an "84 year flood".
By definition, it definitely isn't a 200 or 500 year flood...
adoucette
11th May 2011 - 03:32 AM
QUOTE (Quantum_Conundrum+May 10 2011, 08:54 PM)
I realize that is a NWS spokesperson, but this is definitely NOT a 500 year flood. It is not even a 100 year flood.
This is hyperbole.
You think I'm going with you over the guy I quoted from the National Weather Service?
Nope.
What a 100 year flood means is it is a level that you have the statistical chance of having only once every 100 years.
When he said it was a 500 year flood he was saying you have a statistical chance of having this level only once every 500 years.
BUT
You can have two 100 year events in two years and that doesn't change the long term odds.
http://ga.water.usgs.gov/edu/100yearflood.htmlArthur
Capracus
11th May 2011 - 07:22 PM
QUOTE (Quantum_Conundrum+May 10 2011, 07:07 PM)
It was not a junk yard.
It was a paved parking lot in front of a high rise building...
And it was on the Weather Channel broadcast live.
Try again...
And they have 100 year flood maps which anyone who has ever bought a home or business would have seen.
I think this may be the video you were referring to. It shows both a salvage yard and a parking lot.
http://www.necn.com/05/07/11/Stunning-vide...605&feedID=4207If you're going to define parking a car in a flood prone region as potential insurance fraud, then by extension you would also have to include any other placed structure such as private and commercial buildings as well. Due to the relative rarity of such events in these regions, which side stands to profit more, the insured or the insurer?
Goofus A Gallant
11th May 2011 - 07:38 PM
QUOTE (Capracus+May 11 2011, 02:22 PM)
I think this may be the video you were referring to. It shows both a salvage yard and a parking lot.
http://www.necn.com/05/07/11/Stunning-vide...605&feedID=4207If you're going to define parking a car in a flood prone region as potential insurance fraud, then by extension you would also have to include any other placed structure such as private and commercial buildings as well. Due to the relative rarity of such events in these regions, which side stands to profit more, the insured or the insurer?
That is obviously not a parking lot. Too many hoods and trunks open and not near enough space between the rows for cars to maneuver. I suspect it's a junk yard.
Capracus
11th May 2011 - 09:03 PM
QUOTE (Goofus A Gallant+May 11 2011, 07:38 PM)
That is obviously not a parking lot. Too many hoods and trunks open and not near enough space between the rows for cars to maneuver. I suspect it's a junk yard.
You're right Goofus. In my haste I mistook parts of the video for this image of a flooded parking lot I saw in the LA Times.
http://www.knoxnews.com/photos/galleries/2...flooding/33094/
Goofus A Gallant
11th May 2011 - 09:16 PM
QUOTE (Capracus+May 11 2011, 04:03 PM)
You're right Goofus. In my haste I mistook parts of the video for this image of a flooded parking lot I saw in the LA Times.
http://www.knoxnews.com/photos/galleries/2...flooding/33094/
Now, that looks like a parking lot...
And WOW!
adoucette
26th May 2011 - 04:01 PM
Nah.
Still you can see hoods up, doors open, unsquare vehicles...
Looks like just another parts lot.
Notice ALL the spots are full.
Wouldn't be like that if those cars were being actively driven, not ALL those people would have left them behind.
Arthur
Capracus
29th May 2011 - 01:59 AM
QUOTE (adoucette+May 26 2011, 04:01 PM)
Nah.
Still you can see hoods up, doors open, unsquare vehicles...
Looks like just another parts lot.
Notice ALL the spots are full.
Wouldn't be like that if those cars were being actively driven, not ALL those people would have left them behind.
Arthur
I'm inclined to agree.
Numerous articles using the particular photo refer to the location as a parking lot. My own experience with salvage yards is that vehicles are usually positioned parallel by forklifts, not angled as in the photo.
http://www.google.com/search?um=1&hl=en&bi...0salvage%20yardA closer examination of an enlarged copy of the picture reveals more detail.
http://latimesphoto.files.wordpress.com/20...16_lkzyarnc.jpgNotice that many of the cars appear to have data sheets in the windshields.
To further support your position, a photo labeled a salvage yard is likely the same location.
http://www.commercialappeal.com/photos/2011/apr/30/221631/A Google Maps satellite image of the stated location pretty much nails it as an auto recycler or storage yard.
http://maps.google.com/maps?hl=en&sugexp=l...ved=0CCQQ8gEwAA
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