This is a problem with society in general. The
herd effect a.k.a. "group think" completely drives many peoples' decisions.
It's one reason polls and "the media" have so much influence over voters--but I wont get into a political discussion--that's just one example.
It's also the reason behind proverbial lemmings following each other off a cliff: "How could everybody else be wrong??? I must be wrong... I'll follow."
People are like mindless sheep half the time, unable to come up with an opinion individually.
.
As someone who has studied statistics and deals with them on a daily basis, I can tell you that the reality of polls and surveys is a lot more complicated then anything that has been suggested.
The art of asking questions without being leading is very difficult - to the point where phone surveyours are required in audit processes to randomize the order that certain options are presented to the target population, because the order options are presented in can introduce a form of bias (Obviously not an issue here as it should work in Ubavontubas favour).
ubavontuba
7th March 2008 - 09:07 AM
QUOTE (Trippy+Mar 7 2008, 08:39 AM)
No doubt in spite of the fact that the poll was setup without my knowing, in fact I didn't find out about it until after the victory condition had been met - Ubavontuba will find a reason to dispute it, although I suspect that the vote for hime being correct may well have been from him.
Just to prove your contention false, I went ahead and voted for myself. I also believe that Ebenonce intended to vote for me, but his unfamiliarity with the polling process prevented it.
How many people here think that a popular opinion poll is the correct application of the scientific method? Isn't this how the "science" of Intelligent Design got started?
Trippy
7th March 2008 - 10:45 AM
QUOTE (ubavontuba+Mar 7 2008, 10:07 PM)
Just to prove your contention false, I went ahead and voted for myself. I also believe that Ebenonce intended to vote for me, but his unfamiliarity with the polling process prevented it.
It seems to me that it was intimated in his post that that was only because you had the lower score.
Trust you to try and deny any validity that this might have.
Trippy
7th March 2008 - 11:11 AM
I just realized how futile all of this is.
I did a search through Alphanumerics posts looking for a reference and realized that Ubavontuba's been spouting the same misconceptions since July 2006.
Inspite of the arguments, derivations and calculations that have been handed to him on a silver platter, and the numerous ways his various arguments have been shown to be wrong.
No doubt he will try to argue that it's an indication of a weak argument, but it seems to me that it's more an indication of wrong headedness, and a weak mind.
Latrosicarius
7th March 2008 - 04:17 PM
QUOTE (ubavontuba+Mar 7 2008, 04:07 AM)
How many people here think that a popular opinion poll is the correct application of the scientific method?
While I agree with Trippy that the LHC will not cause disaster, I do so because of the reasons I (and others) have stated, not because of the poll.
This thread is kind of useless... ubavontuba is correct that a poll doesn't make something correct or incorrect.
Sapo
7th March 2008 - 04:25 PM
QUOTE (Trippy+Mar 7 2008, 03:50 AM)
As someone who has studied statistics and deals with them on a daily basis, I can tell you that the reality of polls and surveys is a lot more complicated then anything that has been suggested.
The art of asking questions without being leading is very difficult - to the point where phone surveyours are required in audit processes to randomize the order that certain options are presented to the target population, because the order options are presented in can introduce a form of bias (Obviously not an issue here as it should work in Ubavontubas favour).
I just
love to participate in survey questionnaires when the interviewer is live! By the time I'm done, they don't even know what they've asked or had answered.

I had one woman laughing so hard she couldn't finish her list!
Latrosicarius
7th March 2008 - 06:03 PM
QUOTE (Trippy+Mar 7 2008, 03:50 AM)
As someone who has studied statistics and deals with them on a daily basis, I can tell you that the reality of polls and surveys is a lot more complicated then anything that has been suggested.
The art of asking questions without being leading is very difficult - to the point where phone surveyours are required in audit processes to randomize the order that certain options are presented to the target population, because the order options are presented in can introduce a form of bias (Obviously not an issue here as it should work in Ubavontubas favour).
You should be familiar with Frank Luntz then, that walking pile of feces.
Trippy
7th March 2008 - 10:07 PM
QUOTE (Latrosicarius+Mar 8 2008, 05:17 AM)
While I agree with Trippy that the LHC will not cause disaster, I do so because of the reasons I (and others) have stated, not because of the poll.
This thread is kind of useless... ubavontuba is correct that a poll doesn't make something correct or incorrect.
You mean aside from demonstrating - for example, who's prsented the stronger argument?
ubavontuba
8th March 2008 - 11:14 PM
QUOTE (Trippy+Mar 7 2008, 10:07 PM)
You mean
aside from demonstrating - for example, who's prsented the stronger argument?
You don't mean "stonger argument," but rather, "better salesmanship."
TheDoc
8th March 2008 - 11:24 PM
QUOTE (ubavontuba+)
You don't mean "stonger argument," but rather, "better salesmanship."
Keep telling yourself that. By the way, thanks for the neg
Trippy
8th March 2008 - 11:30 PM
QUOTE (ubavontuba+Mar 9 2008, 12:14 PM)
You don't mean "stonger argument," but rather, "better salesmanship."
As TheDoc says.
Just keep telling yourself that.
ekhalom
20th March 2008 - 12:02 AM
My vote to
ubavontuba due to her/his constructive efforts and persistence to enlighten those who are so blindly immersed in the illusions of the current 'relativist' science. Efforts which, from my perspective, are an example of the higher and true Scientific spirit that must be cherished.
My layman position on this issue may be found at the following post:
http://www.physforum.com/index.php?showtop...ndpost&p=265443Best regards.
Latrosicarius
21st March 2008 - 11:41 PM
QUOTE (Trippy+Mar 7 2008, 05:07 PM)
You mean
aside from demonstrating - for example, who's prsented the stronger argument?
I don't know because I wasn't part of the previous thread, and the poll questions don't state the arguments for each choice.
Trippy
24th March 2008 - 01:52 AM
QUOTE (Latrosicarius+Mar 22 2008, 12:41 PM)
I don't know because I wasn't part of the previous thread, and the poll questions don't state the arguments for each choice.
That's because there's at least three threads, with references to two others.
Chromodynamix
3rd May 2008 - 11:24 AM
The winner should be decided when we do, or do not start sliding in the direction of Switzerland when they fire the LHC up.
gonegahgah
3rd May 2008 - 11:40 PM
Seeing I regard micro black holes as imaginative nonsense then that makes my vote easy.
But that includes Higgs Bosons. I don't believe they exist.
I'm not worried. Good luck LHC.
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