Sciencists can't precisly simulate C. elegant nematode, which has only 302 neurons. And I think this is becouse not the imperfect neurons and synapses simulation (synapses understanding is incomplete), but formation 3D structure of neurons and axons, dentrids, synapses interaction, becouse there is function physical very dificult, which describes how, in what intensity and soever synapses must connect with dentrids, there is much more physics than in some turbulence of whater or air. There is friction then them connected. Computer unable simulate brain, becouse there is too much phisics needed simulated for understand how brain map is builded. Nature working in such process, that you can see whole thing, but can't analyse and understand processes of each part and so I think that if all silicon on earth you will turn into chips, then still will be don't enough power to simulate single brain and it's map construction... Becouse there is a lot of physics, between neurons/axons/sinpses interaction and this physics very hardly used in phormation of brains. And so to phorm brain map need simulate all physics. Which is too hard. Moore laws decain is over and it's exponentionaly slowing down. There is now new law, according to which number of transistors each 18 mounts increase fewer and fewer times: 2 times, 1.5, times, 1.25 times, 1.125 times, 1.0625 times and so on. when years goes to infinity, number of transistors increases goes to 1. So we will never be able to simulate human brain or even rat brain. Another very dificult problem is to create body with receptors and motorical functions and so on. Robots capability never will be such good as animal. So I think AI, nuclear fusion and quantum computing more realated to art than to sciencie. Current neural networks can recognise some objects like ball, maybe faces, very badly language, but they making it machinery, maybe no, but still to conciounes is very long way, which will never be able for computer, becouse it is human creation and not creation from all possible nature variables. And human will never do beter certain things than nature...

But that's just it, we may not need to re-create the brain because we already have them in abundance.

Moore's law is only limited by our current technology. Just think back to when a comparatively simple computer was the size of a room. If they had projected Moore's law to that technology, they may have predicted that your average home computer would have to be the size of a building and dismissed the idea as Sci-fi. Convergent breakthroughs in miniaturization of similar technology allowed for even more computation power to be condensed into a much smaller space. Further advances allow for the interconectivity of those computers and Networks are born.
A future projection of a Network could be condensed further perhaps.

Moore's law has difficulty predicting certain factors. Ideas are often way ahead of the technology we have at our disposal ie; Virtual Reality, which was an interesting idea which looked terrible and didn't quite match up to it's purpose and essentially boiled down to controlling items limited within cyberspace, however science and other related fields are learning how to create better, smaller computer controlled devices that exist in the real World, so don't be surprised if at sometime in the future we see a resurgence of this idea powered by more capable technology, Nanotechnology perhaps?. The potential benefits in medicine are promising. It's this type of convergence in materials, power source, ideas, scale, need etc that are difficult to predict.

Biological computers could sidestep Moore's law altogether by growing similarly to a real brain. But that's a long reach from now.

Never say never in regards to Human endeavor!

Kind regards

Human endeavor becoming smaller and smaller in biology... Okey maybe moore law will be as this each 18 mounts increase number of transitors: 1.8, 1.7, 1.6, 1.5, 1.45, 1.40, 1.37, 1.35, 1.30, 1.25, 1.20, 1.15, 1.10, 1.05, 1.025 times and so on. But moore law waiting soon end and slowdown...
And here wouldn't help any mystery nanotechnolgy, becouse biology is the best annotechnology and nothing more than biology imposible to create... And so I think all nanotechnology is fake.
Biology computers egsist and if you create another biology computer, then I can sure you that it will be worst than current (our brain).
Transistor compe close to atom size and nobody fighting with atom size becouse it's stupid and thus imposible to improve transistors effeincy... Transistors in't less effiecent than neurons (maybe a little bit), becouse they are simple but wotking on 10 milions higher frenquency. So I think that procesors and brains efiency and speed is almost the same, but just procesor don't maked to work, simulate neurons and neurons don't maked to simulate procesor and also key point is map, which creating cells in human brain and not neuron simulation... Between those cells is friction and over physics... And this physics in evolution working acordint to tested physics laws and DNA information...
IF nanotechnology will be succesfull then they still not be much faster than curent processors, becouse limitation of atom size and limitation speed of making chips is also important... Biological chips probably will grew chip per mounts or so?
Everything is limited and those limitations are here...to eliminate moore law...

Again, Moore's Law is always applicable as a rule of prediction, however there are factors which are difficult to 'factor in' during the calculation. There are many unforeseen possibilities that take Science and invention off on new tangents, opening up new unforeseen possibilities ie; The Micro chip.

You may well be correct regarding the difficulties in synthesizing the speed of Neurons etc, however we may not need to do that because we already have Neurons.

The current and future of technology in this context are already in motion.
We already interface with technology, computers, mobile phones, vehicles etc.
We are the sentient component. The devices themselves become smaller, or more user friendly, less intrusive perhaps, more powerful maybe?.
I predict that this interfacing will continue to fuse and converge.

Who knows with a better understanding and application of DNA information and bio-tech, nano-tech advances etc, growing Neurons might in the future be analogous to our current emerging ability to grow Ears on the back of Mice! or a new Heart, Liver etc, etc. Who would have predicted that?

I'm not saying that these things 'WILL' happen or that Moore's law does not impact, in fact, I believe the current prediction is about 50 or so years left in silicon advancement, however be mindful not to underestimate the exponentially of the increases. Also the impact on other areas of advancement. Other potential materials, new ideas etc, etc.



I'll say no more....

Yes, neurons the have, but I think the big invention, at least in principle would be to made AI in chip by simulating neurons, but how I say I think this is imposible. Such person would can live forever... Maybe for him wouldn't need dificult receptors and motorical functions and maybe would be enough only eyes-cameras, and ears-microphons and voise-speaker, connected with simulated brain, becouse there is people who don't feel pain at all or are palarized from born and can feel only with head and still have motivation to live (too bad there isn't palarized and whcih don't feel pain at same time and bonus would be, which don't feel anything except eyes, ears and can speach and don't have motoric functions). If such people would exist then it's would be ask to question does such person would understand and do him brain would developed and do he would have motivation to live.
Device smaller more powerfull, now everything is in flash, and if flash based on transistors and transistors can't shrink farther, then for all sizes here would be limits like for last century players, radios, etc. Vegicles almost don't become better and only more multimedia is instaled, more computers, but the quality alsmost don't changing, so the same will be for computers soon. RAM like was 1GB and can't be bigger for couple years. So I am sceptical that RAM after 100 years will be bigger than 10 GB in one card. Vehicles progress is small like hybrid cars. Electrical cars would have point only if all energy will be for example from wind. OR if oil will cancel. Interesting why biologist (biotech) think that they are so cool, but can't grove heard etc. Ear on neck, which can't heard? And by the way, all humans genome is unknow which genes what making. Only very small part is know and combinations of understanding this genome can be 4^100000000 or so.
Moore law canceling very fast and PS3 will be enough powerfull even in 2020. In 2030 moore law will be such: processor speed 1.001 times bigger after each 18 mounts. To bad I don't understand biotech, but they don't know hot to cure cancer or how to fight virus, becouse it's imposible from nature perspective and here can't help any science, becosue there is those nature laws.

You are trying to understand the current obstacles with current understanding, and you can't, but the knowledge cone increases continually. The potential knowledge 'mass' further out in that cone cannot be concretely ascertained, but we reach the knowledge just beyond us, which prepares us for the knowledge just beyond that, as we venture ever into that cone, and as we have for thousands of years.

So so far they have 8 points not ten.