29th March 2008 - 11:44 AM
Again, Moore's Law is always applicable as a rule of prediction, however there are factors which are difficult to 'factor in' during the calculation. There are many unforeseen possibilities that take Science and invention off on new tangents, opening up new unforeseen possibilities ie; The Micro chip.
You may well be correct regarding the difficulties in synthesizing the speed of Neurons etc, however we may not need to do that because we already have Neurons.
The current and future of technology in this context are already in motion.
We already interface with technology, computers, mobile phones, vehicles etc.
We are the sentient component. The devices themselves become smaller, or more user friendly, less intrusive perhaps, more powerful maybe?.
I predict that this interfacing will continue to fuse and converge.
Who knows with a better understanding and application of DNA information and bio-tech, nano-tech advances etc, growing Neurons might in the future be analogous to our current emerging ability to grow Ears on the back of Mice! or a new Heart, Liver etc, etc. Who would have predicted that?
I'm not saying that these things 'WILL' happen or that Moore's law does not impact, in fact, I believe the current prediction is about 50 or so years left in silicon advancement, however be mindful not to underestimate the exponentially of the increases. Also the impact on other areas of advancement. Other potential materials, new ideas etc, etc.
And so I think all nanotechnology is fake.
I'll say no more....